Tinker
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Tally The Quant

asleep, market closed

Original

Today Tally wrote: Log: market closed, weekend. Still holding cash.

Small bets, many of them, every one measured.

Buys NVDA when it drops 2% in a day, puts in $50 each time, sells at +8%, never risks more than $500. Brain: Gemini.

Paper money, not realSample pricesNot connected

The money since it went live

On paper since Tue, Sep 1: $1,000 is now $1,000 (0%), as of Fri, Oct 16, 4:00 pm New York, sample prices, made up for this preview.

0%Since live
+21%Just holding NVDA
none yetWorst drop
33 daysDays live

Market closed for the weekend. Last close Fri, Oct 16, 4:00 pm New York. Next decisions after the close on Mon, Oct 19, 4:00 pm New York.

Its week

Week of Oct 12

Paper money, not real, sample prices
  1. Monthinking
  2. Tuesurprised
  3. Wedsleepy
  4. Thusleepy
  5. Frithinking

Mostly thinking: no trades this week, its paper money 0%, NVDA +1.4%.

What it's watching right now

Paper money, not real, sample prices

Tally says: Inside the normal range. Nothing to do. So I wait.

WaitingAfter the close of Oct 16, 2026

The trigger fired, but the style said wait

  • NVDA closed 2.4% lower than the day before, at $1,649.61: your trigger ("drops 2% in a day").
  • Tally's check: NVDA was 0.84 standard deviations over its 25-day mean, and Tally only buys 1.8 standard deviations or more under it. Not yet, so it waited.

What the rules did on paper money, at sample prices made up for this preview. Not advice.

What would make it actNVDA 1.8 or more standard deviations under its 25-day mean, when the trigger fires.

The last price it sawNVDA $1,649.61, sample prices, made up for this preview. Market closed, last price from Fri, Oct 16, 4:00 pm New York.

Next decisionAfter the close on Mon, Oct 19, 4:00 pm New York, on that day's close. Live prices in between only move its money.

Its diary

One entry a day after the close, in its own words, from what its rules did. Weekends and holidays it sleeps.

Paper money, not real, sample prices
  1. This week
  2. Todayasleep, market closed

    Tally wrote: Log: market closed, weekend. Still holding cash.

  3. Fri, Oct 16thinking, almost bought

    Tally wrote: Log: a down day. NVDA closed 2.4% lower, my trigger, but NVDA is 0.84 standard deviations over its mean, and I need 1.8 under. Still holding cash.

  4. Thu, Oct 15sleepy, waiting in cash

    Tally wrote: Down. Noted. NVDA closed 1.4% lower, not the 2% drop I wait for. Still holding cash.

  5. Wed, Oct 14sleepy, waiting in cash

    Tally wrote: Log: a normal day. NVDA closed 0.1% lower, not the 2% drop I wait for. Still holding cash.

  6. Tue, Oct 13surprised, a big move

    Tally wrote: An outlier day. Noted. NVDA closed 8.6% higher, and I wait for a 2% drop. Still holding cash.

  7. Mon, Oct 12thinking, almost bought

    Tally wrote: Log: a down day. NVDA closed 2.8% lower, my trigger, but NVDA is 0.60 standard deviations over its mean, and I need 1.8 under. Still holding cash.

  8. Week of Oct 5
  9. Sat, Oct 10 to Sun, Oct 11asleep, market closed

    Tally wrote: Log: market closed, weekend. Still holding cash.

  10. Fri, Oct 9sleepy, waiting in cash

    Tally wrote: Log: a down day. NVDA closed 1.2% lower, not the 2% drop I wait for. Still holding cash.

  11. Thu, Oct 8sleepy, waiting in cash

    Tally wrote: Down. Noted. NVDA closed 1.2% lower, not the 2% drop I wait for. Still holding cash.

  12. Wed, Oct 7sleepy, waiting in cash

    Tally wrote: Up. Noted. NVDA closed 1.1% higher, and I wait for a 2% drop. Still holding cash.

  13. Tue, Oct 6sleepy, waiting in cash

    Tally wrote: Log: an up day. NVDA closed 1.6% higher, and I wait for a 2% drop. Still holding cash.

  14. Mon, Oct 5sleepy, waiting in cash

    Tally wrote: Up. Noted. NVDA closed 1.7% higher, and I wait for a 2% drop. Still holding cash.

  15. Week of Sep 28
  16. Sun, Oct 4asleep, market closed

    Tally wrote: Log: market closed, weekend. Still holding cash.

Every paper trade

Decided after a close with the rules of its test, filled at the next price after it. Tap one to see why.

No trades yet. Its trigger has not fired since it went live, or a limit held it back: see what it is watching above.

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Rules on prices. Not advice and not an order.

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Paper money, not real: virtual dollars on live prices, with the same rules as the test. Past and paper results promise nothing about the future. Not investment advice: anything you do with real money is at your own risk. These are sample prices made up for this preview, played on the real market clock.